Oscar 2011 predictions

Our predictions for the Academy Awards this year

Written by ronin
Published about over 6 years ago. Filed Under: TV

With the Oscar ceremony set to air shortly and hype and excitement at its peak, now would be a better time than ever for us to give our predictions. The year has seen a number of well received movies both for their ambitious vision and technical innovation, as well as stellar performances that will sure be hard to distinguish between.

Notwithstanding that, I now present my predictions for the key catagories and the Ceremony itself, based on the inherent politics involved the industry and the hype.:

Performance by an actor in a leading role

  • Javier Bardem in “Biutiful” (Roadside Attractions)
  • Jeff Bridges in “True Grit” (Paramount)
  • Jesse Eisenberg in “The Social Network” (Sony Pictures Releasing)
  • Colin Firth in “The King's Speech” (The Weinstein Company)
  • James Franco in “127 Hours” (Fox Searchlight).

WHY: Colin Firth has been winning all kinds of awards for his portrayal as King VI. He was nominated for an Oscar last year, but lost out to Jeff Bridges. Academy awards are often won because they are long over due, rather than for a the particular performance. Colin Firth fits into this category, but it also happens that he was excellent in the role as the King of England during WWII.

Performance by an actor in a supporting role

  • Christian Bale in “The Fighter” (Paramount)
  • John Hawkes in “Winter's Bone” (Roadside Attractions)
  • Jeremy Renner in “The Town” (Warner Bros.)
  • Mark Ruffalo in “The Kids Are All Right” (Focus Features)
  • Geoffrey Rush in “The King's Speech” (The Weinstein Company).

WHY: Christian Bale has once again shown he can transform himself both mentally and physically with a level of professionalism that is rare in today's industry. In his role as Dicky, he plays a ex drug addict who lives his boxing aspirations vicariously through his brother, Irish Mickey Ward and is mesmerising. Bale has been knocking out such performances regularly over the years, such as American Psycho (main personal favourite movie ever) and Rescue Dawn to name a few. Mark Ruffalo was extremely likeable in his role, and Renner was very intense in The Town, but Bale gets the prize- and about time too.

Performance by an actress in a leading role

  • Annette Bening in “The Kids Are All Right” (Focus Features)
  • Nicole Kidman in “Rabbit Hole” (Lionsgate)
  • Jennifer Lawrence in “Winter's Bone” (Roadside Attractions)
  • Natalie Portman in “Black Swan” (Fox Searchlight)
  • Michelle Williams in “Blue Valentine” (The Weinstein Company).

WHY: It will be a big upset if Natalie Portman does not win this award. That's how highly regarded her performance is. She became a prima ballerina in preparation for the role, and no other performance in this category (however good) had levels of depth of her role, that required her to change her performance throughout.

Performance by an actress in a supporting role

  • Amy Adams in “The Fighter” (Paramount)
  • Helena Bonham Carter in “The King's Speech” (The Weinstein Company)
  • Melissa Leo in “The Fighter” (Paramount)
  • Hailee Steinfeld in “True Grit” (Paramount)
  • Jacki Weaver in “Animal Kingdom” (Sony Pictures Classics).

WHY: . Melissa Leo, even with her so called "controversial" ads, should win this. Her performance encouraged the viewer to formulate an opinion about her character, which is better indication than any of impact on the viewer.

Adapted screenplay

  • “127 Hours” (Fox Searchlight) Screenplay by Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy
  • “The Social Network” (Sony Pictures Releasing) Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin
  • “Toy Story 3” (Walt Disney) Screenplay by Michael Arndt
  • “True Grit” (Paramount) Written for the screen by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
  • “Winter's Bone” (Roadside Attractions) Adapted for the screen by Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini

WHY: Aaron Sorkin's fast talking screen play is good bet here.

Original screenplay

  • “Another Year” (Sony Pictures Classics) Written by Mike Leigh -“The Fighter” (Paramount) Screenplay by Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson
    - “Inception” (Warner Bros.) Written by Christopher Nolan
  • “The Kids Are All Right” (Focus Features) Written by Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg
  • “The King's Speech” (The Weinstein Company) Screenplay by David Seidler

WHY: With Christopher Nolan being snubbed this year for best director, and not for the first time, this should be the consolation prize, notwithstanding the fact that the movie won much praise for its ambition and depth. Although the King's Speech could be the Dark Horse, as with many other categories.

Best animated feature film of the year

  • “How to Train Your Dragon” (Paramount) Chris Sanders and Dean DeBlois
  • “The Illusionist” (Sony Pictures Classics) Sylvain Chomet
  • “Toy Story 3” (Walt Disney) Lee Unkrich.

WHY: It's Toy Story 3. No need to explain.

Achievement in cinematography

  • “Black Swan” (Fox Searchlight) Matthew Libatique
  • “Inception” (Warner Bros.) Wally Pfister
  • “The King's Speech” (The Weinstein Company) Danny Cohen
  • “The Social Network” (Sony Pictures Releasing) Jeff Cronenweth
  • “True Grit” (Paramount) Roger Deakins.

WHY: Inception was a wonderfully shot movie and one that wowed audiences all over with its grand shots of world that truly made you feel like anything was possible.

Achievement in directing

  • “Black Swan” (Fox Searchlight) Darren Aronofsky
  • “The Fighter” (Paramount) David O. Russell
  • “The King's Speech” (The Weinstein Company) Tom Hooper
  • “The Social Network” (Sony Pictures Releasing) David Fincher
  • “True Grit” (Paramount) Joel Coen and Ethan Coen

Why:David Fincher is another who is long overdue an Oscar, and he did manage to make a movie about Facebook- who thought that was possible?! However, Darren Aronofsky could also be a contender.

Best documentary feature

  • “Exit through the Gift Shop” (Producers Distribution Agency) A Paranoid Pictures Production Banksy and Jaimie D'Cruz
  • “Gasland” A Gasland Production Josh Fox and Trish Adlesic
  • “Inside Job” (Sony Pictures Classics) A Representational Pictures Production Charles Ferguson and Audrey Marrs
  • “Restrepo” (National Geographic Entertainment) An Outpost Films Production Tim Hetherington and Sebastian Junger “Waste Land” (Arthouse Films) An Almega Projects Production Lucy Walker and Angus Aynsley

WHY: Exit through the gift shop left many viewers curious as to whether the documentary was in fact a documentary or just a hoax. Such was the subject that its perfection seemed to be a prank - something many would except from Banksy. Banksy's movie made an entire industry look like a joke - which is always fun.

Best motion picture of the year

  • “Black Swan” (Fox Searchlight)
  • “The Fighter” (Paramount)
  • “Inception” (Warner Bros.)
  • “The Kids Are All Right” (Focus Features)
  • “The King's Speech” (The Weinstein Company)
  • “127 Hours” (Fox Searchlight)
  • “The Social Network” (Sony Pictures Releasing)
  • “Toy Story 3” (Walt Disney)
  • “True Grit” (Paramount)
  • “Winter's Bone” (Roadside Attractions)

WHY: The Kings Speech has picked up momentum in the run up to the award season and the Academy do love period pieces, but they also are desperate to move away from that perception -without losing their credibility. For that reason, Social Network should win the award, as been the prediction for a while.

** The Ceremony**

Don't expect a Ricky Gervias type show ( i know me sad too) but James Franco and Anne Hathaway are extremely charismatic and talented, so they should be able to keep the the show going and entertaining enough -without going to far off the reservation.

Good luck to all the nominees, and hopefully you all enjoy the show!

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